Estudio de diferentes parametrizaciones de actividad eléctrica y su evaluación con observaciones del GLM

Federico Cutraro; María Eugenia Dillon; Juan Jose Ruiz

doi:10.24215/1850468Xe036

Autores/as

Federico Cutraro Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Argentina
María Eugenia Dillon Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, Argentina
Juan Jose Ruiz Centro de Investigaciones del Mar y la Atmósfera, Argentina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24215/1850468Xe036

Palabras clave:

parametrización, actividad eléctrica, GLM, WRF

Resumen

El pronóstico de actividad eléctrica es de vital importancia para muchas actividades y la seguridad de las personas. Dicho pronóstico no es sencillo debido a que es un proceso que ocurre a escalas que no son resueltas por los modelos meteorológicos. Por este motivo, el presente trabajo evalúa el desempeño de cinco parametrizaciones aplicadas al modelo WRF con convección permitida. Para generar y evaluar las parametrizaciones se utilizaron los pronósticos determinísticos y por ensamble del Sistema de Asimilación y Pronóstico del Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SAP.SMN) y las observaciones del sensor GLM entre noviembre de 2022 y abril de 2023. Se encontró que todas las parametrizaciones logran representar de manera correcta distintas características de las descargas observadas durante el período analizado, siendo la que se basa en el contenido de hielo integrado en la vertical, la que brinda los mejores resultados. Se observó además una sensibilidad a la parametrización de la microfísica empleada en el modelo, no así con la parametrización de la capa límite.

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Citas

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