Convergencia entre distritos argentinos: un enfoque de econometría espacial

Isabela Sánchez Vargas; Fernando Ignacio Antonio Gonzalez; Facundo Eduardo Costa de Arguibel; Juan Antonio Dip

doi:10.24215/18521649e041

Authors

Isabela Sánchez Vargas Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina
Fernando Ignacio Antonio Gonzalez Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina
Facundo Eduardo Costa de Arguibel Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina
Juan Antonio Dip Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24215/18521649e041

Keywords:

Argentina, economic growth, spatial econometrics, convergence

Abstract

In this paper, we examine the existence of absolute and conditional beta-convergence in per capita income across departments over a period spanning more than two decades (1992-2013). Unlike most previous studies on the topic, we relax the assumption of independence between observations and allow for the presence of spatial dependence in both static and dynamic models, using per capita luminosity data as a proxy for average income. The results provide robust evidence of a conditional convergence process over the period studied. Specifically, even when accounting for spatial effects, departments with lower levels of per capita income experience a higher rate of economic growth. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating spatial effects into the analysis. The positive and significant overall spatial effect indicates that the economic trajectory of a department is significantly influenced by the trajectory of its neighbours. Finally, spatial spillover effects slow down the convergence process for the entire period under study, with temporal dynamics varying between subperiods: spatial effects tend to delay convergence from 1992 to 2002, while they accelerate it from 2002 to 2013.

Author Biographies

Isabela Sánchez Vargas, Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina

She holds a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the National University of Misiones (2013) and a Master's degree in Economics from the University of Buenos Aires (2017). She is currently an Internal Fellow at the National Scientific and Technical Research Council (CONICET), based at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the National University of Misiones (FCE – UNaM). She is currently working on her dissertation for the Ph.D. in Economics at the Pontifical Catholic University of Argentina. She teaches Macroeconomics I and Microeconomics II at FCE – UNaM. Her research focuses on economic development and applied microeconometrics.
Fernando Ignacio Antonio Gonzalez, Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina

Fernando Antonio Ignacio González received his Ph.D. in Economics from the National University of the South (UNS) in 2021. His research agenda focuses on the intersections of political economy, economic development, and applied microeconomics. His work has been published in journals such as Economics and Human Biology, Climate and Development, Journal of Gender Studies, Environment, Development and Sustainability, among others.
Facundo Eduardo Costa de Arguibel, Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina

He holds a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the National University of Misiones and a specialization in Public Policy from Torcuato Di Tella University. He is currently pursuing a Master's degree in Econometrics at Torcuato Di Tella University and a Ph.D. in Economics at the National University of the South. He is a Doctoral Fellow at the National Scientific and Technical Research Council (CONICET), based at the Faculty of Economic Sciences of the National University of Misiones. He teaches Macroeconomics II and Industrial Organization at the Faculty of Economic Sciences, National University of Misiones (FCE – UNaM). His research interests include applied microeconomics, econometrics, and economic development.
Juan Antonio Dip, Universidad Nacional de Misiones, Argentina

He holds a Bachelor's degree in Economics from the National University of Tucumán and a Ph.D. in Economics from the Pontifical Catholic University of Argentina (UCA). He has completed research stays at the Center for Studies on Inequality and Development (UFRJ – Brazil), the Complutense University of Madrid (Spain), and a postdoctoral stay at AMZET – ATECH, University of Málaga (Spain). He is a professor of Econometrics at the Faculty of Economic Sciences (FCE) of the National University of Misiones (UNaM), and a postgraduate lecturer. He is a former consultant for the Federal Investment Council (CFI Consultora SA) and former Dean of FCE – UNaM.

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