Hacia una teoría de la reconversión económica

Abstract

This article uses Adolph Lowe's three sector model as a normative instrument to orient a policy of economic reconversion of the industrial structure, starting from a stationary state, that gives some indication about the intersector reallocation of productive resources. The purpose of the model is to determine certain proportions among the three sectors (Sector I: production of capital goods that make capital goods; Sector II: production of capital goods that make consumer goods; Sector III: production of consumer goods) and among their respective stocks of capital. In going from a stationary state to a state of growth, this structural model shows that there is a transitionary state during which the production of sector III could eventually decrease, that of sector II is readapted, and intensive accumulation takes place in sector I. The consequences of this shall be the building up of a new industrial structure that allows growth to take place at a steady rate in the three sectors.