Estimación del Multiplicador del Gasto Público en Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación

Gonzalo Bernat

doi:10.24215/26183188e102

Autores

Gonzalo Bernat Centro Interdisciplinario de Estudios en Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación, Red de Investigaciones Socioeconómicas Públicas de la Argentina

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24215/26183188e102

Palavras-chave:

CTI, economia argentina, investimento público, crescimento de longo prazo

Resumo

Este artigo analisa o impacto do investimento público em ciência e tecnologia na economia argentina, com base na estimativa de multiplicadores fiscais para diferentes componentes do gasto público. Propomos uma nova abordagem para o assunto, ao passo que encontramos um multiplicador estatisticamente significativo para esse fim. Os resultados obtidos com base nesse tipo de análise nos permitem afirmar que o efeito positivo dos gastos públicos em ciência e tecnologia sobre a economia argentina é significativo não apenas no curto prazo, gerando impactos o nível de atividade. Ao longo prazo, por meio dos efeitos da inovação sobre a produtividade, tais gastos ajudam a sustentar uma tendência de crescimento do PIB.

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